Working Groups

Decadal Predictability Working Group

The US CLIVAR Decadal Predictability Working Group was formed in January 2009. 

Their scientific objectives are to:

  • Define a framework to distinguish natural decadal variability from anthropogenically-forced variability and to quantify their relative magnitude.
  • Develop a framework for understanding decadal variability through metrics that can be used as a strategy to assess and validate decadal climate predictions simulations.

Members of the working group have published a paper in Climate Dynamics entitled “A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal prediction experiments.”

 

Decadal Predictability Working Group
Lisa Goddard, co-chair Columbia University/International Research Institute for Climate and Society
Arun Kumar, co-chair NOAA National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Amy Solomon, co-chair University of Colorado
George Boer Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis
Jim Carton University of Maryland
Tom Delworth NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
Clara Deser National Center for Atmospheric Research
Tom Fricker University of Exeter, UK
Ichiro Fukumori NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory
Arthur Greene Columbia University/International Research Institute for Climate and Society
Ed Hawkins University of Reading, UK
Gabi Hegerl University of Edinburgh, UK
Ben Kirtman University of Miami
Yochanan Kushnir Columbia University/Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory
Jerry Meehl National Center for Atmospheric Research
Rym Msadek NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
Matt Newman University of Colorado
Doug Smith UK Met Office
Tim Stockdale European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasting
Rowan Sutton University of Reading, UK
Dan Vimont University of Wisconsin