Decadal Predictability Working Group

Documents and Publications

• Prospectus of the Decadal Predictability Working Group (pdf)
• US CLIVAR Decadal Predictability Working Group, 2011: Distinguishing the roles of natural and anthropogenically forced decadal climate variability: Implications for prediction, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., Vol.92, No. 2. pp. 141-156.

Meetings

• Relevant Science Meetings and Workshops

  • Working Group Meeting 14-15 January 2010
    • Agenda
  • Working Group Meeting 19 June 2009
    • Agenda
    • Minutes
    • Intro slides
    • Solomon presentation
    • Deser presentation
    • Carton presentation

• Working Group Meetings/Teleconferences
• Telecon Minutes 28 July 2011 (doc)
• Telecon 7 March 2011
  • Hawkins presentation
  • Discussion of smoothing of the forecast data and on the set of metrics based on the questions posed to the forecasts
• Telecon 18 January 2011
• Telecon 14 June 2010
  • Vimont presentation (ppt)
  • Ting presentation (ppt)
• Telecon Minutes 14 April 2010 (pdf)
• Telecon Minutes 8 March 2010 (pdf)
  • Slides from Kirtman (ppt)
• Telecon Minutes 4 February 2010 (pdf)
• Telecon Minutes 17 November 2009 (pdf)
• Telecon Minutes 30 July 2009 (pdf)
• Telecon Minutes 26 May 2009 (pdf)
  • Hegerl presentation
  • Desser presentation
• Telecon Minutes 24 April 2009 (pdf)
  • Meehl presentation
  • Newman presentation
• Telecon Minutes19 March 2009 (pdf)
  • Kushnir presentation
• Telecon Minutes 12 February 2009 (pdf)

Announcements

U.S. CLIVAR Call for New Working Groups (pdf)

U.S. CLIVAR joint call with Ocean Carbon Biogeochemistry Group (OCB) for Working Groups (pdf)

U.S. CLIVAR Summit 2011 presentations online

U.S. CLIVAR Decadal Predictability Working Group publishes paper in BAMS (Feb. 2011, Vol. 92, No. 2)

NCAR Advanced Study Program Summer Colloquium - 6-24 June 2011; Statistical Assessment of Extreme Weather Phenomena under climate Change - presentations online

More Announcements

Science Tidbits    

26 September 2011: Seeking better answers to climate change, extreme weather

20 September 2011: Earth is losing Arctic sea ice: consequences could be global

17 August 2011: Study blames humans for half of recent Arctic ice melt

9 July 2011: Record south-central drought could continue into 2012, National Weather Service predicts

7 July 2011 - US Climate: The New Normal

10 June 2011 - NASA launches Aquarius

More News