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The U.S. Climate Variability and Predictability Research Program (CLIVAR)

Friday, July 30, 2010


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U.S. CLIVAR produces a monthly electronic news-gram which includes timely information regarding upcoming meetings in addition to announcing climate research opportunities. To subscribe, send an email to with "subscribe" in the subject header and include your contact information.

 

  

  

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The Science of PPAI

Current PPAI Activities

PPAI GOALS

  1. Further fundamental understanding of climate predictability at seasonal to centennial time scales
    • Develop and promote standard metrics and practices for evaluating predictability and prediction
    • Encourage coordinated U.S. participation in emerging international multi-model predictiona nd attribution activities
    • Quantify prediction uncertainty and its sources
    • Assess predictability of key climate forcings
  2. Improve provision of climate forecast information, particularly with respect to drought and other extreme events
    • Assess baseline predictability of drought on weeks to decades.
    • Coordinate and “advertise” scientific support for multi-agency research efforts that address local and remote sea-air-land mechanisms of drought and its predictability, at interannual to decadal timescales (joint with GEWEX)
    • Assess possible future changes in drought
    • Identify/collect/document monsoon indices to observe and predict (help from POSP)
    • Assess baseline simulation capability of complete annual cycle of global monsoon and its variability, including diurnal component (help from PSMIP)
    • Assess baseline predictability of identified monsoon indices
    • Quantify relative roles of ocean/atmosphere and land/atmosphere processes (with POSP & PSMIP)
    • Assess potential future changes of global monsoons
  3. Foster research and development of prediction systems for climate impacts on ecosystems
    • Improve understanding of oceanic and atmospheric patterns, and consequent forcing mechanisms, that organize ecosystems and determine the spatial and temporal distribution of water resources. (with PSMIP)
    • Quantify the predictability of key oceanic and atmospheric processes that influence ecosystems and water resources.
    • Develop tools for transforming climate forecasts into ecosystem and water resource forecasts at lead times from sub-seasonal to centennial and at appropriate spatial scales
    • Develop ability to quantify relative contributions of anthropogenic climate change and natural climate variability to observed long-term changes in ecosystems and water resources
  4. Enable use of CLIVAR science for improved decision support
    • Develop integrated linkages to interdisciplinary programs: NOAA RISA and OGP, IRI, IPCC, CCSP, NASA efforts, NSF NEON / CUAHSI / CLEANR / ORION, Ocean Observing Systems, public entities such as WGA / NGA.
    • Promote/support projects that link climate observations, forecasts, and scenarios with resource assessments and forecasts
    • Promote sustained interactions with other disciplines and research communities to ensure delivery of “usable science”
    • Emphasize spatial and temporal scales of information needed for applications. Contribute support for the development, use, interpretation, and evaluation of tools (e.g. downscaling) employed by applications.

 

 

Announcements

New Western Boundary Current paper published - Role of Gulf Stream, Kuroshio-Oyashio and Their Extensions in Large-Scale Atmosphere-Ocean Interaction : A Review, J. Climate, 15 June 2010, Vol. 23, pp 3249-3281

2010 Workshop on Evaluation of ReanalysesNovember 1-3, Baltimore, Maryland

First Circular Announcement for WCRP Open Science Conference October 2011

Postdocs Applying Climate Expertise(PACE) seeking Organizational Partners

PSMI Publication on Best Practices for Process Studies released and has reached #6 on AMS most viewed list. (BAMS, July 2009)

 

More Announcements

Science Tidbits    

April 2010 - Surface Fluxes: Challenges for High Latitudes - presentations posted

February 2010 - YOTC-GS Alpha Prototype for Satellite data has been released to the public

 

More News

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