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14 July 2008 Irvine, California
Hyatt Regency, Irving, CA (Conference
Theatre)
Climate Predictions for 2018: What can we say now and with what fidelity/uncertainty?
What is our plan to develop predictions of climate 10 years into
the future?
Agenda
Time
Title
Speaker
1. Use
and Value of Decadal Predictions for 2018 (Why do
decision-makers need 2018 projections? What will they be
used for? (we know decision-makers want accurate
high resolution regional projections at sub-monthly time
scales – we cannot provide those at present. What attributes
are most important? What other products/information would be
of value?)
0800 - 0830
Refreshments,
Registration (Conf Rm Foyer)
0830 - 0845
Welcome and Symposium
Overview
0845 - 0915
TITLE…TBD (decision
making under uncertainty – experience with California
water resource managers)
Poster Session on decadal
variability and predictability
Processes important in decadal variability?
How do we estimate decadal predictability?
How well are models simulating decadal variations?
Observing and detecting changes
General contributions
Refreshments,
reception, etc…
3. Discussion
1630 - 1715
Discussion
What can we say now about climate in 2018? and with what
reliability?
What is our plan to develop predictions of climate 10
years into the future? What are some essential activities
to get there?
Posters
A Projection of the Impact of Climate Change
on the Hydroclimate in California Based on CCSM3 and JIFRESSE RESM:
A Joint UCLS-JPL Research Effort on Modeling and Observing the
Earth System on Regional Scales - Annmarie Eldering, Jinwon Kim
and Alex Hall
The Role of Weather Noise in Pacific Decadal Variability
- Ben Kirtman
Understanding the controls on tropical convective
margins and their variability - Benjamin Lintner and J. David
Neelin
Attribution of the seasonality and regionality
in climate trends over the United States during 1950-2000 - Hailan
Wang, Siegfried Schubert, Max Suarex, Junye Chen, Martin Hoerling,
Arun Kumar and Philip Pegion
Contrasting Easter-Pacific and Central Pacific
Types of ENSO - Hsun-Ying Kao
A Two-Oscillator View of ENSO and Its Interaction
with Pacific Mean Climate - Jin-Yi Yu
Forced and Internal 20th Centruy SST Trends in
the North Atlantic - Mingfang Ting, Yochanan Kushnir,m Richard
Seager, Cuihua Li
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